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Sydney used car market — where prices are heading in 2026

Prices have softened 8-12% from the 2023 peak. Here's what's selling, what's stuck, and what we expect through the rest of 2026.

APAnika Patel· Market Analyst · ex-Glass's Guide21 May 20266 min read

Used car prices in Sydney have come down from the COVID peak — but unevenly. Some segments are still 30% above 2019; others are now below. Here's the working snapshot for mid-2026.

Headline price moves (vs 2023 peak)

SegmentChangeNotes
Mid-size SUV petrol (CX-5, RAV4, Sportage)-8%Stable, plenty of stock
Dual-cab utes (Ranger, HiLux, Triton)-3%Demand still strong
Small hatch (Corolla, Mazda3, i30)-12%Oversupply, buyers shifting to small SUV
Used Tesla Model 3/Y-22%Compressed by new-model price cuts
European prestige sedan (BMW 3, Audi A4)-15%Diesel especially weak
Hybrid mid-size (RAV4 Hybrid, Camry Hybrid)+4%Still scarce, supply-constrained

What's selling in days

  • Toyota RAV4 Hybrid (any trim) — sub-7 days on market.
  • HiLux SR5 4x4 auto, 2020-2022 — sub-10 days.
  • MG ZS EV under $20k — sub-14 days, mostly fleet returns.
  • BYD Atto 3 under $25k — sub-10 days.

What's stuck

  • European diesel sedans 100k+ km — 60+ days, big negotiation room.
  • Large sedans (Camry V6, Skoda Superb) — 45+ days.
  • Used Tesla Model S/X — 50+ days, prices keep falling.
  • Convertibles outside summer — 90+ days through winter.

The 12-month outlook

  1. 1.Used EV prices have likely bottomed for 2-3 year old Teslas (we're seeing buyer demand return at $30-35k).
  2. 2.Hybrid premium will persist while Toyota supply remains constrained.
  3. 3.Dual-cab ute prices will soften as new model BYD Shark, Cannon Alpha and JAC T9 take share.
  4. 4.Sub-$15k segment will keep tightening — these cars are being scrapped faster than they're being replaced.

Common questions

Should I wait 6 months to buy?

Only if you can. The 'big drop' has already happened for most segments — incremental softening is left, not collapse.

Are interest rates affecting used prices?

Yes — but only for financed buyers. Cash buyers are seeing the best discounts in 5 years.

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